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The Palin Effect

The addition to Sarah Palin to the Republican ticket may be a good and clarifying thing for Obama Pollsters. It may soften the affect of the "Bradley Effect" on Obama's pre-November 4th numbers. Those who had planned to vote McCain but would've said undecided or "voting for Obama" to pollsters to not appear racist, can now say McCain because a woman is on the ticket and the fear of a sexist charge may offset the fear of a racist charge. That may be a little of what we are seeing now in the polling. Factoring in the "Bradley Effect", assuming it even showed up, the Obama camp would've had to been around 4 or 5 points up on election day.

Though if you look at the California primary my numbers could be way off. Obama was ahead by as much as 13 and lost by 10. To a woman! That could be called the "Obama Effect".

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Hillary Countdown

It's just a matter of time before Hillary says she can't support Obama and his misogynist ways. She already is reluctant to support his flailing candidacy. He just giving her reasons to bail. Remember "Sweetie"? And now "Pig in Lipstick". Personally, not a big deal, just "tryin'" to relate to the common man. Harvard grads are fatally flawed at being colloquial. But Hillary knows a great, natural politician when she sees one. She married one. Obama is no Bill Clinton.
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Palin and the "C" word...

....um, coattails?


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VIP VP

McCain's surprising pick of Sarah Palin says that WE, the Republicans, are not going to make this election about experience, (HRC was the one with the 3 AM phone call ad), but about ideas, issues and solutions. I think the Republicans are well positioned to counter the Democrats need to preach unity with there own to preach solutions. The DNC spent the week saying "yeah us!", while the RNC can spend the week saying "yeah U.S.!".
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Hip Hop Not Nation...

... at least for the time being. Expect to see less of artists like Ludacris, Jay-Z and others associated with Hip-Hop/Rap in the Main Stream Media in the coming weeks. Even though Obama is a fan. At least until after the election. Such warning flags as this one from boston.com are sent up to warn the "true believers" to "chill" for the short term. The vast majority of Americas do not want to become a "Hip-Hop Nation" as many feel murder rates are too high already, teen pregnancy is too common already and gang warfare is too prevalent already. The notion of a top down change in America to these ends does not appeal about 90% of citizens.

So expect to hear very little about how "hip" America is going to be with Obama as president. Note the very not hip-hop Jennifer Hudson will be singing the national anthem (the official United States national anthem that is not this one).
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Hmmmm, History Repeats Itself

Isn't this how Obama got he last job? The press delving into the divorce of an opponent?

An old post on the subject.
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Ex-President Obama

There is another angle to an Obama presidency on which I've seen no commentary. If he is elected president, in 4 or 8 years (if, then hopefully the former), he will be an ex-president, and at 51 or 55 years of age he could be an ex-president for a very long time. Democrat ex-presidents of late, of both the 4- and 8-year variety have a real problem fading into the sunset as was modeled by Reagan, Bush I and Ford. Bill, to the consternation of Hill, was unable to play it cool. I don't think he helped Gore or Kerry much as his false pout wore thin with the electorate. And Carter's failed policies somehow served as PhD. degrees qualifying him to comment, nay criticize ad nauseum. On the contrary John McCain would very likely be the kind of ex-president that Bush the First has been. Remember Bush I refused to go to Germany for a victory lap when the wall came down, because he felt others deserved that honor more than he. Apparently Obama had no problem running that lap as pre-president.

So remember, we are not just electing a president, we are also electing an ex-president. Who would make a better ex-president?
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Congress Passes Laws...

... and the Executive branch enforces them. Civics 101. Thomas Edsall makes this point at his Huffington Post article about how BHO is "moving to the center"...
"At the same time that the economy flourished during Rubin's and Summers' tenure (1995-2000) -- per capita income rose from $22,153 to $25,469 in inflation-adjusted dollars; median family income rose from $53,349 to $59,398; and unemployment fell from 5.6 to 4.0 percent -- both Treasury secretaries were accused of acceding to Wall Street pressure to eliminate deficit spending at the expense of the poor and unemployed."
Forgetting completely that Rubin/Summers/Clinton had virtually nothing to show for their tenure. The heavy lifting was done by the congress. But hey, if they want to take credit for that mild boom, how about taking credit for the massive dotcom crash that really created what everyone now knows as an artificial boom.

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No. You are too liberal!

BHO is using the race card saying the GOP is accusing him of being too black. The left wants to frame the election this way. They want to whine and guilt voters into voting for their guy. Typical. It will probably work because most people were "educated" in government schools. Including myself and I'm a complete idiot.
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I think I'll take the rest of the year off...

...and lay off my employees, until next year. Because if I make over $250,000 I'll have to pay 12.4% more in taxes. That's both shares of the payroll taxes, the responsibility of one who is self-employed. That is if BHO gets his way. That's a 38% tax increase for everyone making over 250K!!! What will they get for that? $1200 a month after age 67? Please! Anyone making that kind of money during their career won't qualify for social security anyway because they were probably smart and set up a KEOUGH, an IRA, a SEP-IRA, a Roth-IRA and other personal saving vehicles.

Bring families together again... get rid of social security! Then Grampa can't say "I don't need to be nice to my kids I've got social security"anymore.
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Ishmael vs. Isaac

If John McCain chooses Joe Lieberman as his running mate, it would set up an historic contest between a descendant of Ishmael and a descendant of Isaac. Tracing it's roots from the book of Genesis to the conflict today concerning Israel and Jerusalem.

Joe could help deliver Connecticut's 7 electoral votes (Kerry could've had Ohio, and if Bush won CT he still would've won the presidency). And maybe help deliver some of the double voters in Florida and New York to the Republican ticket for a change.

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Expect this for the next five months...

... MSM stories on racism. Designed to guilt voters.

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