Posted by
Contrarian Guitarist on Thursday, August 05, 2010 12:18:51 AM
As I noted in an earlier post, I often refer to the Democratic Party as the Law of Unintended Consequences Party, or LUC Party for short. Currently many in the party are campaigning hard for immigration reform, or as is obvious to everyone, voter registration via amnesty. Depending on who you believe, demographics are either working for them or against them. There are those who predict growth in the number of registered Republicans, generally based on the fact that conservatives tend to have a lot more babies than do liberals. We have three where are liberal friends have one or none, to be anecdotal. One of our liberal couple friends had a baby, became conservatives, and then had two more. However others predict with the browning of America will come a more left-leaning populace.
Not so fast. Remember African-Americans and Latinos put Prop 8 over the top in California. The same group that has the highest unemployment rates in a nation controlled by liberals. If the Democrats in Washington believe amnesty will give them 12 million new voters on their side, they might want to look again at the latest
Obama Job Approval Rating from Gallup. Among all three races noted, white, black and hispanic, his numbers are of course falling, but none faster and deeper than among hispanics. From a peak of 82% just over a year ago to 54% today! 54% was his winning number in '08 among all Americans. Among blacks Obama peaked at 94% and is down to 88%. A modest change. But among whites his high was 62% and now he's at 38%. That last number doesn't bode well for his 2012 chances. And thus amnesty is a perceived solution. Except that 54% is striking distance at 50 or 49 or 45 or 38 etc. And it seems the more BHO talks about immigration reform the more his numbers among Latinos fall.
Does this mean Democrats will stop calling for amnesty? Maybe. Does this mean that Republicans will start campaigning for it? Not likely. The principle hasn't changed. The party of the elephant will always be a rule of law party.