Posted by
Contrarian Guitarist on Saturday, September 13, 2008 3:09:29 PM
The addition to Sarah Palin to the Republican ticket may be a good and clarifying thing for Obama Pollsters. It may soften the affect of the "
Bradley Effect" on Obama's pre-November 4th numbers. Those who had planned to vote McCain but would've said undecided or "voting for Obama" to pollsters to not appear racist, can now say McCain because a woman is on the ticket and the fear of a sexist charge may offset the fear of a racist charge. That may be a little of what we are seeing now in the polling. Factoring in the "Bradley Effect", assuming it even showed up, the Obama camp would've had to been around 4 or 5 points up on election day.
Though if you look at the
California primary my numbers could be way off. Obama was ahead by as much as 13 and lost by 10. To a woman! That could be called the "Obama Effect".